Blue Wave In 2024. We are done with postcarding this cycle, but our work to protect democracy continues! 538’s 2024 presidential election forecast model showing democrat kamala harris’s and republican donald trump’s chances of winning.

Strategists in both parties consider michigan, pennsylvania, and wisconsin the pivotal states that are most likely to decide the winner in 2024—just as they did in 2020 and. As democrats secured key electoral and historic victories up and down the ballot in states such as michigan, wisconsin and pennsylvania, they shored up their position in.